(no subject)

[gothwalk]

Here's an an article about global climate. It argues that contrary to the majority opinion, there is in fact no global warming, and that we're about to start the slide into a Little Ice Age, bottoming out around 2030. It's well written, and fairly convincing in and of itself, although it's not for the faint-hearted, containing sentences like "Two consecutive negative extrema transgressing the threshold indicate grand minima of the Maunder minimum type, whereas a single extremum below the threshold goes along with an event of the Dalton minimum type.".

What I'm finding interesting is that either way, Little Ice Age, or global warming leading to the Gulf Stream shutting down, Europe seems to be in for some cold times. I'm not getting my hopes up, though - my bet is that the global warming (which I do think exists) will counter the effects of the cyclical minima, leaving us with pretty ordinary weather, barring the odd storm.

But it'd be nice to have real winters in Ireland.

Comments

[hobbitblue.livejournal.com]

No clue if they are better organised in Ireland, but considering how most of England falls apart as soon as there's the slightest covering of snow (even though it usually snows), or too much rain (it always rains) I shudder to think how things would be if we got actual extremes of weather in winter. So does this mean the past tropical summer was a one off and everyhing goes cold now? I never did understand this climate thing.
::goes hunting for woolly scarf and snowshoes just in case::

[gothwalk.livejournal.com]

They're worse organised here, by far. I think there may be one snowplough in the country, total. But it hasn't snowed here worth a damn for... oh, about ten years; we haven't had deep (more than six inches) snow since 1986/87, and we haven't had really deep snow since 1982.

I think the warm summer was more due to stable air over Europe this year than anything else, although the temperatures were very high even for that - I think global warming is at work there.

I don't agree with this guy, myself; there's plenty of other evidence for global warming, and I think he's ignoring that to point at his historical measures.

However, if global warming continues, the Gulf Stream, which keeps Europe much warmer than other places at the same latitude, will shut down, and we'll have a climate more like Canada.

So either way, keep an eye on those snowshoes!